https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/Can Trump talk with Kim Jong-un bring peace to the Korean peninsula?
Can Trump talk with Kim Jong-un bring
peace to the Korean peninsula?
South Korean officials declared that the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea is prepared to negotiate with the U.S. over denuclearizing the peninsula and normalizing relations. President Donald Trump declared his policy has worked and he has accepted an invitation to meet Kim Jong-un.
The first is good news, if true. But even if true, it is merely the first step to achieving a stable peace in Northeast Asia.
The second is less clear. Any talks are likely to be conducted on North Korea’s rather than America’s terms. The North’s professed willingness to denuclearize may not result in denuclearization.
The South Koreans who met with Kim suggest that peace is in the air. The DPRK wants dialogue and is prepared to denuclearize.
However, so far Kim has not spoken. In fact, after Seoul’s announcement the Communist Party newspaper justified Pyongyang’s possession of nuclear weapons. That may just indicate that Pyongyang intends to strike a hard bargain. But we won’t really know the North’s position until North Korea’s Supreme Leader responds.
Moreover, there’s nothing particularly new in Pyongyang’s presumed offer to talk. In the past North Korea has engaged the U.S. in a dialogue over denuclearization. But that did not mean the North was willing to abandon its weapons.
The reason there have been no recent official talks is because the Trump administration insisted that the North agree to the main issue beforehand: denuclearization. But indicating a theoretical willingness to disarm is not the same.
For instance, the DPRK apparently says it wants sufficient security guarantees. In the past the North demanded that America end the alliance with the Republic of Korea and withdraw U.S. troops from the region?
Asking for more than Washington would give would not be simple duplicity, though North Korea obviously is capable of such. However, even if a Trump-Kim summit occurs, what rational dictator on Washington’s naughty list would trust the Trump administration and its successors?
Every president from Ronald Reagan to Barack Obama ousted at least one regime not to America’s liking. President Obama even targeted Libya’s Muammar Khadafy after the latter negotiated away his nuclear weapons and missiles.
President Donald Trump repudiated the agreement reached between his predecessor and Iran and threatened to unleash “fire and fury” on the North. Kim is unlikely to accept expressions of good will and paper guarantees as sufficient.
Finally, Pyongyang long desired talks with America and there even was talk of a summit between Bill Clinton and Kim jong-il, shortly before the former left office. It appears that Pyongyang has simply repackaged a long-standing objective.
An anonymous Trump administration official insisted that Washington’s policy “will not change until we see credible moves toward denuclearization.” He also dismissed entering into talks encumbered by “non-starter conditions” by the DPRK as in the past.
However, the North won’t abandon its leverage without receiving something in return. And it can simply move its conditions one step back, from tied to agreeing to negotiate to agreeing to disarm.
Despite such caveats, negotiations offer a way out of today’s crisis, with the Trump administration threatening to start the Second Korean War. After having helped keep the peace for 65 years, it would be foolish beyond measure for the administration to risk triggering another massive conflict on the peninsula, especially one which could lead to a nuclear exchange.
The DPRK long has been the land of second best options. But in advance of a presumed Kim-Trump summit Washington should work with South Korea and Japan to develop a common denuclearization offer for the DPRK and then seek Chinese backing.
Denuclearization should remain Washington’s long-term objective, but if the North proves less receptive than South Korea suggests, the U.S. also should pursue other advantageous, if short-term, goals in the meantime, such as freezing North Korean missile and nuclear development. And policymakers should consider creative options if these efforts reach a dead end, as in the past.
Kim’s apparent offer to talk and meet with Trump is a gambit in a larger strategy for dealing with America. As such, it may prove to be more opportunity than breakthrough. Still, Trump should pursue the chance to sit down with Kim and search for a peaceful exit from the dangerous policy cul-de-sac into which the administration had driven.
Doug Bandow is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute and a former Special Assistant to President Ronald Reagan. He is author of Tripwire: Korea and U.S. Foreign Policy in a Changed World and co-author of The Korean Conundrum: America’s Troubled Relations with North and South Korea.
font images google
font redaction https://www.ocregister.com/2018/03/12/can-trump-bring-peace-to-the-korean-peninsula/
Presidential Election Results: Donald J. Trump Wins
Donald J. Trump won the Electoral College with 304 votes compared to 227 votes for Hillary Clinton. Seven electors voted for someone other than their party’s candidate.
CANDIDATE PARTY VOTES PCT. E.V.
Donald J. Trump Republican 2,841,005 51.3% 18
Hillary Clinton Democrat 2,394,164 43.2 —
Gary Johnson Independent 174,498 3.2 —
Others Independent 56,391 1.0 —
Jill Stein Green 46,271 0.8 —
Richard Duncan Independent 24,235 0.4 —
100% reporting (8,887 of 8,887 precincts)
Donald J. Trump has won Ohio’s 18 electoral votes. Trump has 446,841 more votes than Hillary Clinton, with 100 percent reporting. Donald J. Trump is up by 8 points with all precincts reporting.
Below are detailed results for the race. View other Ohio election results on our full Ohio results page. See all states on our presidential map.
| CANDIDATE | PARTY | VOTES | PCT. | E.V. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald J. Trump | Republican | 2,841,005 | 51.3% | 18 | |
| Hillary Clinton | Democrat | 2,394,164 | 43.2 | — | |
| Gary Johnson | Independent | 174,498 | 3.2 | — | |
| Others | Independent | 56,391 | 1.0 | — | |
| Jill Stein | Green | 46,271 | 0.8 | — | |
| Richard Duncan | Independent | 24,235 | 0.4 | — | |
100% reporting (8,887 of 8,887 precincts)
Donald J. Trump has won Ohio’s 18 electoral votes. Trump has 446,841 more votes than Hillary Clinton, with 100 percent reporting. Donald J. Trump is up by 8 points with all precincts reporting.
Below are detailed results for the race. View other Ohio election results on our full Ohio results page. See all states on our presidential map.
Race Preview
Ohio, a competitive state with 18 electoral votes, is crucial for Mr. Trump. He had a slight advantage going into Tuesday's election. Barack Obama won Ohio in 2012 by 3 percentage points.
Ohio, a competitive state with 18 electoral votes, is crucial for Mr. Trump. He had a slight advantage going into Tuesday's election. Barack Obama won Ohio in 2012 by 3 percentage points.
font images google
font redaction http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/president
" We always believe in your work, in your family and in Mr. Donald J. Trump. "
"We never give up because we know of the power of corrupt mediaInstalled in the United States and also in Brazil. My independent blogger and thousands inside and outside the United States have always opposed traditional monopoly-funded media.We never gave up supporting him. Good luck and let's make America, the world again great. "
editor blogger Capital paranaense.blogspot.com
march, 03 2016
Donald Trump Overwhelms G.O.P. Rivals From Alabama to Massachusetts
Donald J. Trump won sweeping victories across the South and in New England on Tuesday, a show of strength in the Republican primary campaign that underscored the breadth of his appeal and helped him begin to amass a wide delegate advantage despite growing resistance to his candidacy among party leaders.
Mr. Trump’s political coalition — with his lopsided victories in Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts and Tennessee, and narrower ones in Arkansas, Vermont and Virginia — appears to have transcended the regional and ideological divisions that have shaped the Republican Party in recent years.
With strong support from low-income white voters, especially those without college degrees, he dominated in moderate, secular-leaning Massachusetts just as easily as he did in the conservative and heavily evangelical Deep South.
Brandishing his Super Tuesday victories as proof of his political might, Mr. Trump said he expected to consolidate the Republican Party behind his campaign.
Senator Ted Cruz reasserted himself with victories in his home state, Texas, in neighboring Oklahoma and in Alaska, earning a reprieve as he fends off questions about his viability. The wins strengthened his case that he is the only alternative capable of overtaking Mr. Trump.
The results were a grievous setback for Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, who has insistently argued that among the Republican candidates, only he has the political standing to compete with Mr. Trump in a head-to-head race. Mr. Rubio’s backers have urged other candidates to stand down and allow him a clean shot at Mr. Trump, who is a polarizing figure even among Republican primary voters.
Mr. Cruz outpolled Mr. Rubio in many of the states that voted on Tuesday, however, especially in the South, and was the only candidate other than Mr. Trump to win more than one state. Though Mr. Rubio handily won the Minnesota caucuses, his otherwise limp finish may have cost him any leverage he had to demand that other candidates defer to him.
Still, Mr. Rubio urged Republicans not to give up hope of thwarting Mr. Trump.
“Do not give in to the fear, do not give in to anger, do not give in to sham artists and con artists who try to take advantage of your suffering,” he said in Miami. “I will campaign as long as it takes and wherever it takes to ensure that I am the next president of the United States.”
In the states Mr. Trump carried, there was a smattering of resistance in a band of relatively affluent suburbs, including areas outside Atlanta and Washington that supported Mr. Rubio, and areas around Boston that voted for Gov. John Kasich of Ohio.
had appeared at one point to be favorable to a mainstream opponent, and Mr. Rubio and Mr. Kasich both visited those states often.
But no candidate invested more in success on Super Tuesday than Mr. Cruz, who spent many days last year campaigning across the South, far afield of the first nominating states, Iowa and New Hampshire.
Mr. Cruz has argued consistently that only a candidate with an unblemished conservative record could mount a strong challenge to Mr. Trump over the long run. The outcome in Texas, the most populous state to vote on Tuesday, will also increase his delegate count as candidates jockey for position in a potentially contested Republican National Convention.
Still, Mr. Cruz also showed the limits of his political reach: He did not come close to Mr. Trump in much of the South, he failed to resonate in more moderate Massachusetts and Virginia, and the lineup of states that vote later in March may be less hospitable to his brand of rigidly ideological politics.
Mr. Cruz, appearing in Stafford, Tex., boasted of his victories but acknowledged that the splintered opposition would make Mr. Trump difficult to stop.
Rubio Assesses Super Tuesday Results
Senator Marco Rubio spoke at a rally in Miami about the results of the voting Tuesday.
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS on March 1, 2016. Photo by Eric Thayer for The New York Times. Watch in Times Video »
“So long as the field remains divided, Donald Trump’s path to the nomination remains more likely, and that would be a disaster for Republicans, for conservatives and for the nation,” he said, referring to Mr. Trump as “profane and vulgar.”
Mr. Cruz did not directly mention Mr. Rubio, but pleaded with those rivals who had not had similar successes in the primaries to “prayerfully consider coming together” to halt Mr. Trump.
Both Mr. Cruz and Mr. Rubio have adopted a survival strategy geared less toward defeating Mr. Trump outright than toward denying him the delegates he needs to clinch the nomination before the summer convention.
But the stakes for the party’s anti-Trump forces have risen in recent days: With Mr. Trump’s initial refusal on Sunday to disavow the support of the Ku Klux Klan and its former grand wizard David Duke, only his latest inflammatory episode, he reinforced the fears of Republican leaders that nominating him would be a historic mistake for the party.
Republicans have been increasingly outspoken in recent days, warning that if Mr. Trump is the nominee, it will consign the party to a general election catastrophe.
Party leaders embarked on a last-ditch effort in recent weeks to throw up a united front of resistance to Mr. Trump, perhaps by clearing the field of opponents so that a single challenger can compete with him, or by directing a late wave of negative advertising against Mr. Trump in the biggest states that award their delegates in March.
Advisers to Mr. Rubio and Mr. Kasich have acknowledged that a contested convention may be their most realistic chance at claiming the Republican nomination, and that they may have a better chance of blocking Mr. Trump from winning the 1,237 delegates he needs to be nominated than of taking a majority themselves.
Mr. Trump added at least 190 delegates, for a total of over 270, extending his advantage to more than triple the delegates of Mr. Cruz, his nearest rival. But because Tuesday’s contests allocated delegates proportionally, his victories fell short of offering him an impregnable lead. Mr. Rubio, however, was in danger of failing to reach the vote threshold, 20 percent, to receive any at-large delegates in Alabama, Texas and Vermont.
In a sign of his determination to lock up the nomination swiftly, Mr. Trump visited two symbolically important states on Super Tuesday: Ohio, where Mr. Kasich is governor, and Florida, Mr. Rubio’s home state.
Both states are set to award their delegates on March 15, and Mr. Trump hopes that by winning both, he can drive his opponents out of the race.
Mr. Trump trained his fire on Mr. Rubio in his Palm Beach news conference Tuesday night, belittling him as “a lightweight” and a “little senator.”
He dismissed threats from a handful of Republicans who have said they may back a third-party candidate over him. On the contrary, he insisted he would expand the Republican coalition. “We are going to be a much bigger party, and you can see that happening,” he said.
Two other candidates, Mr. Kasich and Ben Carson, a retired neurosurgeon, appeared unlikely to gain any momentum on Tuesday.
While Mr. Kasich ran close to Mr. Trump in Vermont, he will have to enter a third contest he has targeted, Michigan’s primary on March 8, with no particular improvement in his fortunes.
Mr. Kasich sought to put the best face on the wide losses he suffered Tuesday, crowing to a small crowd in Jackson, Miss., “Tonight, I can say that we have absolutely exceeded expectations.”
Straining to find a bright spot on the map, he noted, “We are running, right now, neck and neck with Donald Trump in the state of Vermont.”
Mr. Carson has ceased to be much of a factor in the race. He has languished at the bottom of polls and has not broken through in any recent debates.
He spent Tuesday night in a state that did not vote, holding his party in Baltimore, where he was a longtime neurosurgeon at Johns Hopkins University.
Comentários
Postar um comentário